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Who's the Smart Money Here?
The #coffeemarket has been consolidating for the last two weeks after its rapid rise up since the beginning of April. The question now...

Igor Bragato
Jun 9, 20212 min read
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European Stocks Dampens Impacts of the Deficit
With the return and improvement of the European stocks, I think its important that we address the impact of the projected global deficit....

Igor Bragato
Jun 7, 20212 min read
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Bearish Specs Appear
Over the last few days we have seen the new highs fail and fall along with the #bullish excitement. Meanwhile we have seen #openinterest...

Igor Bragato
Jun 3, 20212 min read
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Are Rate Hikes Coming? Does it Matter?
#Currencies and #FX are notoriously difficult to predict because they do not exist in a vacuum, one #currency affects all others. That...

Igor Bragato
Jun 1, 20212 min read
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*Is the Rally Here?*
Another big day in the #CoffeeMarkets this time spurred by two pieces of news: 1) Brazilian gov't is issuing water advisories in several...

Igor Bragato
May 28, 20213 min read
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Half-Pregnant Coffee
You can't be half-pregnant, but that is exactly how the #coffeemarket looks right now. The technicals are equal parts #bullish and...

Igor Bragato
May 26, 20211 min read
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#Inflation Trade Overdone?
Given the outsized influence of the #macro bullishness on the #coffeemarket, it is important to revisit this topic. What's concerning to...

Igor Bragato
May 24, 20211 min read
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Don't Fight the Fed
Well the Macro picture has once again raised its ugly head. #Federalreserve Vice Chair Clarida said the weak April payroll report shows...

Igor Bragato
May 18, 20211 min read
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Brazilian Central Bank (BCB) vs Sinovac vs Coffee
Update: Brazil to receive shipments Brazil to receive ingredients from China for 25 million vaccine shots in coming days (yahoo.com) Last...

Igor Bragato
May 17, 20211 min read
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Flags and Pennants in Coffee Point Higher
With #technicalanalysis for #commoditymarkets, the key is to ask yourself is there a logical, #psychological phenomenon ? With #coffee...

Igor Bragato
May 12, 20211 min read
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*The Commodities vs Coffee*
"When all you have is a hammer, all of your problems look like nails." As a "coffee guy" or "coffee gal", it can be very easy to get stuck in our worlds and lose sight of the big picture. For those of us who are immersed in #coffee market data and talk about the #coffeemarket on a daily basis, we tend to see everything in terms of coffee. When you publicly share a view of the #market, it is even more tempting to look at every day's price action as confirmation of our view.

Igor Bragato
May 11, 20212 min read
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*The Morning After-a Coffee Market Post-Mortem*
I'm not a big fan of retrospectives, in general I would rather be forward looking then commenting on the past, but yesterday's price...

Igor Bragato
May 6, 20213 min read
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#Bullish #Coffee Spreads Driven by #Fundamentals?
The back month calendar spreads are firm. U22/Z22 is backwardated as of this writing and H22/K22, K22/N22, N22/U22, are all > -1 and...

Igor Bragato
May 4, 20211 min read
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Commodities Take a Break, Coffee Gets Support
We have been talking about the "macro" trade recently with the entire #commoditymarket getting a boost from the weak #USdollar and...

Igor Bragato
Apr 28, 20211 min read
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2 Points on ECF Stock Rise
Given the #EuropeanCoffeeFederation (#ECF)'s recent issuance of the stock report, I wanted to review the numbers and see what we can...

Igor Bragato
Apr 25, 20212 min read
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What does Disaster look like for Coffee? 170c and beyond...
Those of us following the #coffeemarket, know that there was heat damage that caused flowers to abort from the #coffee trees in #Brazil,...

Igor Bragato
Apr 22, 20212 min read
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Is Coffee in a Bull Market?
#tradingquotes are fun and sometimes offer good insight, but obviously we can't take them as gospel. That disclaimer out of the way, I...

Igor Bragato
Apr 9, 20211 min read
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The Ascending Triangle, and What it Means in Coffee
On 5 Year chart, we have resistance in #KC around the 135-140 level (Jul 2017, Sep 2017, Dec 2019, Aug 2020 and Feb 2021). This...

Igor Bragato
Apr 8, 20211 min read
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The Inverse Relationship between Stocks and Price
I have often remarked on the inverse correlation between price and #commodity inventory (stocks). In #coffeemarket the two most relevant...

Igor Bragato
Apr 7, 20211 min read
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Roasters Add Most Longs This Year - Why You Should Care
#CoffeeRoasters added 13.5k lots of futures coverage to their positions in #KC last week. This is the most lots in 1 week that we have...

Igor Bragato
Apr 5, 20211 min read
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