Top 5 Reversal Patterns for Commodity Traders
Introduction Technical analysis is the practice of interpreting prices, volume and other trading data, with the goal of forecasting...
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Ryan Delany
- Jul 18
- 2 min
State of the Coffee Market Part 2
Continuation from Part 1 Looking Forward Forecasting is always a tricky business, and this is especially true in coffee as there is a...
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Ryan Delany
- Jul 18
- 3 min
State of the Coffee Market Part 1
Coffee prices have rallied once again this month we are testing the highs of the post 2021 frost era for the second time in just a few...
539 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
- Jul 11
- 4 min
Brazil Cecafe Exports Sharply Down
Brazil Cecafe exports came in sharply down last month at 3.57 million bags, which is nearly a 20% decrease from the month prior. Is this...
268 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
- Jul 3
- 6 min
Using the COT to Predict Commodity Prices
The COT is one of those key reports that everyone in the coffee market can receive for free and it can be used to effectively predict...
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Ryan Delany
- May 21
- 4 min
Weekly Premium Coffee Reports 5/20/2024
Intro Price model has small bullish bias front-loaded o If KC rallies above 20 SMA, this could attract long specs Beyond the 6-month...
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Ryan Delany
- May 14
- 5 min
The Impressive Rise and Fall of the Coffee Market – a Retrospective Part 1
From Mar 19th to Apr 18th, the Arabica market rallied an impress 60c, or more than 33% with no tangible fundamental cause. However, the...
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Igor Bragato
- Apr 4
- 2 min
Daily Coffee Valuation Score for 4/4/2024| Target 175.4 | -13.9%
Good morning friends, Scorecard has the market above estimated value Arabica rally paused, despite USD weakness Arabica certs rising,...
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Igor Bragato
- Feb 6
- 5 min
Origin Focus – Honduras - Part 2
Honduras holds a crucial position in the global coffee market. Remarkably, this Arabica origin leads the Central America production, and...
358 views0 comments
Beamlak Bekele
- Dec 14, 2023
- 7 min
Impact of European Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) on the Coffee Market
The EU deforestation regulation went into effect on June 29, 2023, and immediately after it was implemented, the European coffee stocks...
1,195 views0 comments
Igor Bragato
- Dec 12, 2023
- 4 min
Origin Focus: Honduras - Part 1
Honduras At-A-Glance Production: Avg ~6.2m bags, last 10 years Coffee Types: Arabica (100%) Coffee Harvest: Oct-Jan (can vary to Nov-Mar)...
393 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
- Dec 7, 2023
- 7 min
Why Coffee Rallied 14c in One Day and was Down 8c another Day
Last week on November 30th, the coffee market rallied 14.5c or almost 9%, in a single day. To put this in context, this is the largest...
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Beamlak Bekele
- Dec 5, 2023
- 4 min
8 Frequently Asked Questions on the Coffee Trader’s Course
The Coffee Trader’s Course is one of our popular offerings here in the Coffee Trading Academy next to our premium Coffee Market Analysis...
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Ryan Delany
- Nov 27, 2023
- 3 min
Tenderable Parity Analysis Update:
Exploring Economic Viability of Semi-Washed Brazilian Coffee and Blend Variations In a previous paper (Tenderable Parity Analysis:...
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Beamlak Bekele
- Nov 9, 2023
- 5 min
Origin Focus - Uganda
Uganda At-A-Glance: ● Production: Avg 5-6 million 60 Kg bags of coffee per year in the last eight years ● Coffee Types:...
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Ryan Delany
- Nov 7, 2023
- 5 min
CTA - Brazil Farmer Survey
Section 1. Key Findings Over the course of Oct 24th through 31st , 2023 we conducted a survey of Brazilian coffee farmers about their...
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Igor Bragato
- Nov 1, 2023
- 4 min
Hedge Fund Positioning and Vulnerability in the Coffee Market - Part 2
In the previous free article, we discussed the dynamics of hedge fund positioning in the coffee market generally. In this premium...
521 views0 comments
Igor Bragato
- Oct 31, 2023
- 4 min
Hedge Fund Positioning and Vulnerability in the Coffee Market - Part 1
Intro The Arabica coffee market has experienced a major rally of ~22c in just 2 short weeks. The sudden and substantial increase has come...
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Ryan Delany
- Oct 12, 2023
- 6 min
What the New ICE Rule Means for Coffee Prices
A few weeks ago, the ICE announced a new rule for the coffee market that made it explicitly forbidden to "recertify" coffee. There are...
1,211 views0 comments
Igor Bragato
- Sep 21, 2023
- 5 min
Brazil Crop Risk Building from Dry Weather & High Temperatures
Brazil experienced a relatively early #coffee flowering this year, with some reports saying that up to 50% (50!?! Really? 🤨) of the crop...
712 views0 comments
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