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Robusta Coffee – Bigger Production and Rise in Consumption
The expansion of Robusta coffee production in recent years has coincided with a rise in demand, as elevated Arabica prices push more...
Alexander Gruber
Jul 243 min read


Brazil Coffee Farmer Survey July 2025
Between July 10th and 11th, 2025, we interviewed 622 coffee producers from all coffee regions in Brazil to gather their views on the...

Igor Bragato
Jul 2310 min read


Crisis in Vietnam Robusta Differentials – One Year Later
Exactly one year ago the Vietnamese differentials peaked at unbelievable high levels, a new high far higher than any historical numbers:...
Alexander Gruber
May 274 min read


Tariffs, Coffee and Commodities
Coffee and the USD are both selling off this morning in the wake of the US tariff announcement yesterday. This is an unusual combination...

Ryan Delany
Apr 34 min read


Easy Way to a Million Dollars by Trading Coffee
The old joke goes: if you want to get a million dollars trading coffee, start with two million. (In other words, the only thing...

Ryan Delany
Apr 16 min read


CTA Brazil Coffee Farmer Survey Report - February 2025
In this exclusive report, we analyze the findings of our latest Brazil coffee farmer survey, which featured 815 coffee farmers. This report includes total Brazil 25/26 crop forecast, a breakdown of the Arabica and Robusta crops, regional crop conditions and first-hand insights into several Brazilian growing regions.

Igor Bragato
Mar 1911 min read


CTA’s Brazil Coffee Farmer Survey Explained
Brazil is the dominant force in the global coffee market, it’s responsible for nearly 40% of the world's annual coffee production. The...

Igor Bragato
Mar 137 min read


Demand - Challenging Assumptions in Coffee – Part 2
(Continued from Part 1) The New Paradigm An old mentor of mine once said to me, “when someone tells you that its a new paradigm, run...

Ryan Delany
Mar 54 min read


Demand - Challenging Assumptions in Coffee – Part 1
One widely held assumption I have heard for years is that global coffee demand is fairly stable. There is a reason that it is generally...

Ryan Delany
Mar 45 min read


The Story Behind the Coffee Market Surge to 400c
The coffee market has skyrocketed to an unprecedented 400c, following years of prolonged inversion and a historic price surge, reaching...

Igor Bragato
Feb 64 min read


Conclusions From Brazil Coffee Field Research - South Minas Gerais – January 2025
Date: Jan 21-23rd Visited: Varginha, Três Pontas, Guaxupé, Areado – farms and cooperatives Takeaways · There has been a visual...

Igor Bragato
Jan 2813 min read


Coffee Breaks Out 50 Year Highs - Uncharted Waters Ahead
The #Arabica #coffeemarket has rallied to unprecedent highs this morning, surpassing all-time highs of 330c by hefty 16c while breaking...

Ryan Delany
Dec 10, 20246 min read


Conclusions From Brazil #Coffee Market & Field Research
Disclaimer: This was a two-day field research trip, which included a series of discussions with a broad range of stakeholders. We...

Igor Bragato
Dec 4, 202412 min read


Impact of Recent USD Trends on the Coffee Market – a Retrospective
The US #dollar is one of the many factors (of which fundamentals are primary) that influence the #coffeemarket. Notably in the last two...

Igor Bragato
Oct 23, 20243 min read


Coffee Exports Overview of 23/24 Season
The 23/24 coffee season ended in September, and some of the main producing countries have published their full-season export...

Igor Bragato
Oct 16, 20243 min read


Brazil Forecasts Show Abundant Rainfall Underway
The Brazil precipitation outlook has made a dramatic turn around over the last few days, transitioning from dry forecasts igniting fears of a disastrous crop to predicting widespread and abundant rain for October, the main flowering period. Just a week ago, there was little confidence that rain would reach the coffee regions in time for flowering, but now there is nearly a universal agreement that they will arrive on schedule.

Igor Bragato
Oct 9, 20244 min read


Top 5 Reversal Patterns for Commodity Traders
Introduction Technical analysis is the practice of interpreting prices, volume and other trading data, with the goal of forecasting...
Diego Miranda
Sep 12, 20248 min read


State of the Coffee Market Part 2
Continuation from Part 1

Ryan Delany
Jul 18, 20242 min read


State of the Coffee Market Part 1
Coffee prices have rallied once again this month we are testing the highs of the post 2021 frost era for the second time in just a few...

Ryan Delany
Jul 18, 20243 min read


Brazil Cecafe Exports Sharply Down
Brazil Cecafe exports came in sharply down last month at 3.57 million bags, which is nearly a 20% decrease from the month prior. Is this...

Ryan Delany
Jul 11, 20244 min read
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