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Coffee Breaks Out 50 Year Highs - Uncharted Waters Ahead
The #Arabica #coffeemarket has rallied to unprecedent highs this morning, surpassing all-time highs of 330c by hefty 16c while breaking...

Ryan Delany
Dec 10, 20246 min read


Brazil Forecasts Show Abundant Rainfall Underway
The Brazil precipitation outlook has made a dramatic turn around over the last few days, transitioning from dry forecasts igniting fears of a disastrous crop to predicting widespread and abundant rain for October, the main flowering period. Just a week ago, there was little confidence that rain would reach the coffee regions in time for flowering, but now there is nearly a universal agreement that they will arrive on schedule.

Igor Bragato
Oct 9, 20244 min read


Flowering Registered in Brazil’s Cerrado
On Aug 25th, we visited a few #coffee producing areas from the Cerrado (MG) region in Brazil and had the opportunity to witness a portion...

Igor Bragato
Sep 1, 20235 min read


Origin Focus – Ethiopia – Part 2
Ethiopia holds a significant position as the third largest #Arabica #coffee producer, considerably impacting the physical pricing of dry...

Ryan Delany
Jul 6, 20235 min read


The Impressive Rise of Robusta: S&D Considerations
#Robusta experienced a dramatic rally from 1750 in N up to nearly 2500 in April, a rally of 40%. #Arabica experienced a similar though...

Ryan Delany
May 2, 20236 min read


Approaching 2 Key Technical Thresholds in the Coffee Market
The coffee market has experienced an impressive rally recently, with both #Arabica (+34c,+19.8%) and #Robusta (+$27, +1.2%) markets...

Ryan Delany
Apr 20, 20233 min read


Brief Coffee Crop Tour in Cerrado & Alta Mogiana, Brazil
On Apr 5th to 6th, we did an informal 2-day trip in Cerrado (MG) and Alta Mogiana (SP), which is in the heart the main #coffee producing...

Igor Bragato
Apr 14, 20235 min read


State of the Coffee Market
Half-Pregnant We are in a particularly awkward moment in #coffee, and the stakes are high for the direction of price. Already faced by...

Ryan Delany
Mar 28, 20237 min read


Coffee Destination Stocks – A Guide
In #Coffee, and in many #commodities like it, stocks (inventory levels) drive price. This is particularly true in coffee because the...

Ryan Delany
Jan 10, 20235 min read


Calendar Spreads and their Insights into Commodities Trading
While Calendar Spreads may seem confusing at first, they are actually easy to understand, and more importantly, very useful for...

Ryan Delany
Dec 15, 20225 min read


Commodity Index Funds: Beyond the Rebalance
Every year around December, those of us in #coffee (and in the commodity industry in general) start talking about “the rebalance.” While...

Ryan Delany
Dec 8, 20225 min read


End of an Era: Coffee Market Back in Carry
The current Z/H #calendarspread has been inverted for an entire year (November 2021) and today, it touched a low of -2.6c and is...

Ryan Delany
Nov 15, 20227 min read


Cert Stock Horror Show-Case Study of 1996
Halloween is coming this month, and in keeping with the spooky traditions of this month I want to share a number with all of my #coffee...

Ryan Delany
Oct 4, 20225 min read


Brazilian Coffee Market Outlook - With Cocapec
On Sep 1st, 2022 we spoke with Adilson Machado, the manager of Cocapec, one Brazil’s premier Coffee Coops. Adilson himself is deeply...

Igor Bragato
Sep 21, 20223 min read


An Outlook of the Cerrado Coffee Crop in Brazil
On August 17th, we visited the city of Araguari, localized in the Cerrado Mineiro, one of Brazil’s main #coffee producing areas. Our...

Igor Bragato
Sep 1, 20226 min read


Changing Landscape in the Coffee Market
The #coffeemarket is in a very different dynamic than it was 3 months ago, and we are getting near to a new paradigm: the bear market. In...

Ryan Delany
May 25, 20228 min read


Coffee Calendar Spreads are On Fire
Yesterday, #Arabica #certifiedstocks dropped an impressive 70k and the #calendarspreads are going bananas. Calendar spreads in Arabica...

Ryan Delany
Feb 1, 20227 min read


Real Deal on the Brazilian Real: How Brazilian Forex Influences the Coffee Market
Our first rule of our coffee trading rules is “Know Brazil, know the BRL”. #Brazil is the powerhouse of the #coffeemarket. Boasting the...

Ryan Delany
Jan 18, 20227 min read


7 Data Points to Watch in Coffee
#Coffee is a rapidly changing market and while conviction is essential, we need to be prepared to change our view when the facts change....

Ryan Delany
Nov 11, 20213 min read


Sea Change in the Cert Stocks
Over the last month #certifiedstocks in #Arabica #Coffee dropped 120k bags, 33,000 of which happened on October 5th. This is a bellwether...

Ryan Delany
Oct 6, 20212 min read
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