End of an Era: Coffee Market Back in Carry
The current Z/H #calendarspread has been inverted for an entire year (November 2021) and today, it touched a low of -2.6c and is...
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Igor Bragato
- Oct 6, 2022
- 7 min
How the Brazilian Elections Affect the Coffee Market
The Brazilian presidential elections are happening and the question that arises for us is: how does this affect the #coffeemarket? In...
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Igor Bragato
- Sep 21, 2022
- 3 min
Brazilian Coffee Market Outlook - With Cocapec
On Sep 1st, 2022 we spoke with Adilson Machado, the manager of Cocapec, one Brazil’s premier Coffee Coops. Adilson himself is deeply...
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Ryan Delany
- May 25, 2022
- 8 min
Changing Landscape in the Coffee Market
The #coffeemarket is in a very different dynamic than it was 3 months ago, and we are getting near to a new paradigm: the bear market. In...
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Ryan Delany
- Apr 21, 2022
- 5 min
Understanding the US Dollar Impact on the Coffee Market – Part 2 – Predicting the USD
The #USD directly impacts the price of #coffee (and all #commodities): Dollar strength lowers the prices of commodities and coffee, and...
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Ryan Delany
- Feb 18, 2022
- 7 min
Understanding the US Dollar Impact on the Coffee Market - Part 1
#Coffee is both a financial product and a global #commodity. It is cultivated, consumed, shipped and traded across almost every country...
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Ryan Delany
- Jan 18, 2022
- 7 min
Real Deal on the Brazilian Real: How Brazilian Forex Influences the Coffee Market
Our first rule of our coffee trading rules is “Know Brazil, know the BRL”. #Brazil is the powerhouse of the #coffeemarket. Boasting the...
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Ryan Delany
- Nov 30, 2021
- 4 min
OMG, Omicron! and the Effects on the Coffee Market
Today Fed Chairman Powell gave testimony before the US Senate where he cautioned on the economic impact of the #Omicron Variant on the US...
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Ryan Delany
- Nov 11, 2021
- 3 min
7 Data Points to Watch in Coffee
#Coffee is a rapidly changing market and while conviction is essential, we need to be prepared to change our view when the facts change....
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Ryan Delany
- Aug 5, 2021
- 5 min
A Macro Boon for Coffee
Yesterday the #BrazilianCentral Bank announced a rate increase of 1% to combat the rising #inflation. This is the largest increase since...
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Ryan Delany
- Jul 8, 2021
- 3 min
FOMC Might be Bullish Coffee
I read the Federal Reserve minutes so you don't have to! Steady as she goes from the #FederalReserve. This may disappoint #USD bulls who...
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Ryan Delany
- May 28, 2021
- 3 min
*Is the Rally Here?*
Another big day in the #CoffeeMarkets this time spurred by two pieces of news: 1) Brazilian gov't is issuing water advisories in several...
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Ryan Delany
- May 18, 2021
- 1 min
Don't Fight the Fed
Well the Macro picture has once again raised its ugly head. #Federalreserve Vice Chair Clarida said the weak April payroll report shows...
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Ryan Delany
- May 4, 2021
- 1 min
#Bullish #Coffee Spreads Driven by #Fundamentals?
The back month calendar spreads are firm. U22/Z22 is backwardated as of this writing and H22/K22, K22/N22, N22/U22, are all > -1 and...
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