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Tariffs, Coffee and Commodities
Coffee and the USD are both selling off this morning in the wake of the US tariff announcement yesterday. This is an unusual combination...

Ryan Delany
Apr 3, 20254 min read


Easy Way to a Million Dollars by Trading Coffee
The old joke goes: if you want to get a million dollars trading coffee, start with two million. (In other words, the only thing...

Ryan Delany
Apr 1, 20256 min read


Ivory Coast Arrivals and the Impact On 24/25 Cocoa Prices
Introduction This season, the arrivals in Ivory Coast (the world’s largest cocoa producer) have told a surprising and evolving story...
Diego Miranda
Mar 27, 20255 min read


The Impact of High Cocoa Prices on The Chocolate Industry
For over a year now, the chocolate industry has been facing an unprecedented increase in costs on cocoa beans. Prices have skyrocketed...
Diego Miranda
Mar 20, 20254 min read


CTA Brazil Coffee Farmer Survey Report - February 2025
In this exclusive report, we analyze the findings of our latest Brazil coffee farmer survey, which featured 815 coffee farmers. This report includes total Brazil 25/26 crop forecast, a breakdown of the Arabica and Robusta crops, regional crop conditions and first-hand insights into several Brazilian growing regions.

Igor Bragato
Mar 19, 202511 min read


CTA’s Brazil Coffee Farmer Survey Explained
Brazil is the dominant force in the global coffee market, it’s responsible for nearly 40% of the world's annual coffee production. The...

Igor Bragato
Mar 13, 20257 min read


Cocoa Origin Focus: Ivory Coast part 2
Read Part 1 here . In just seven months, the Ivory Coast, the undisputed juggernaut of cocoa production, will host elections featuring...
Diego Miranda
Mar 11, 20259 min read


Demand - Challenging Assumptions in Coffee – Part 2
(Continued from Part 1) The New Paradigm An old mentor of mine once said to me, “when someone tells you that its a new paradigm, run...

Ryan Delany
Mar 5, 20254 min read


Demand - Challenging Assumptions in Coffee – Part 1
One widely held assumption I have heard for years is that global coffee demand is fairly stable. There is a reason that it is generally...

Ryan Delany
Mar 4, 20255 min read


The Story Behind the Coffee Market Surge to 400c
The coffee market has skyrocketed to an unprecedented 400c, following years of prolonged inversion and a historic price surge, reaching...

Igor Bragato
Feb 6, 20254 min read


Conclusions From Brazil Coffee Field Research - South Minas Gerais – January 2025
Date: Jan 21-23rd Visited: Varginha, Três Pontas, Guaxupé, Areado – farms and cooperatives Takeaways · There has been a visual...

Igor Bragato
Jan 28, 202513 min read


Key lessons from the coffee market in 2024 – a retrospect
2024 was a historic year for coffee where prices rallied above $3 to an all-time high for the market. While this price was not as crazy...

Igor Bragato
Jan 14, 20256 min read


Sugar Market Sells Off Below 3-Month Bearish Trend Channel
The #sugar market experienced a sharp -0.9c selloff today, breaking below the lower boundary of the well-established 3-month...

Igor Bragato
Dec 17, 20241 min read


Coffee Breaks Out 50 Year Highs - Uncharted Waters Ahead
The #Arabica #coffeemarket has rallied to unprecedent highs this morning, surpassing all-time highs of 330c by hefty 16c while breaking...

Ryan Delany
Dec 10, 20246 min read


Conclusions From Brazil #Coffee Market & Field Research
Disclaimer: This was a two-day field research trip, which included a series of discussions with a broad range of stakeholders. We...

Igor Bragato
Dec 4, 202412 min read


A Coffee Trader's Journey
I wanted to write a brief note here to pay tribute to a great trader who passed away last week, Jon Stefenson. He was one of my friends...

Ryan Delany
Nov 5, 20245 min read


Top 5 Continuation Patterns for #Commodity Traders
Introduction In financial markets, technical analysis is the practice of interpreting price action, volume and other trading data,...
Diego Miranda
Oct 30, 20248 min read


Impact of Recent USD Trends on the Coffee Market – a Retrospective
The US #dollar is one of the many factors (of which fundamentals are primary) that influence the #coffeemarket. Notably in the last two...

Igor Bragato
Oct 23, 20243 min read


Coffee Exports Overview of 23/24 Season
The 23/24 coffee season ended in September, and some of the main producing countries have published their full-season export...

Igor Bragato
Oct 16, 20243 min read


Brazil Forecasts Show Abundant Rainfall Underway
The Brazil precipitation outlook has made a dramatic turn around over the last few days, transitioning from dry forecasts igniting fears of a disastrous crop to predicting widespread and abundant rain for October, the main flowering period. Just a week ago, there was little confidence that rain would reach the coffee regions in time for flowering, but now there is nearly a universal agreement that they will arrive on schedule.

Igor Bragato
Oct 9, 20244 min read
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