Read Part 1 here Introduction The US-Iran conflict shocked international markets and introduced upside and downside volatility across currencies, equities and commodities. Supply chains were disrupted by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, one of the most important waterway passages for global commerce. Despite being deeply affected, though, cocoa prices remained relatively stable, as most impacts balanced each other out. In the first part of this blog series, we saw the most immediate...

Introduction At the end of February, the US and Israeli militaries launched Operation Epic Fury, a joint attack against the Iranian regime. This has involved extensive airstrikes, the destruction of the Iranian Leadership and retaliatory strikes against the US, Israel and their Arabian allies in the region. More significantly for the global economy, Iran has closed the strait of Hormuz, and the US has blockaded Iranian ports. Due to its extreme importance to the global economy, the...

Strong price incentives during the 2023–25 cocoa bull market have driven a significant boost to Ecuador’s cocoa production, putting it on track to potentially surpass Ghana as the world’s second-largest producer. As a result, Ecuador is becoming increasingly important in the global cocoa scenario. In this blog, we analyze Ecuador’s position in the cocoa market, how it’s been rising to the top as an origin, and the key drivers shaping its supply. This piece serves as a crucial guide for...