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What the Latest Inflation Number Means for Coffee (and all Commodity) Prices
The overall framework in commodities is that a weak USD rallies commodities and a strong US dollar devalues commodities. This is the...
Ryan Delany
Aug 11, 20223 min read
311 views
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Lay of the Land
#Coffee has confounded both bulls and bears with a sideways movement after one of the most dramatic bull markets in a generation. Since...
Ryan Delany
Aug 9, 20226 min read
524 views
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Russo-Ukraine Conflict and the Impact on Coffee (and Commodity) Markets
#Russia has begun aerial bombardment of #Ukraine, including in the capital city of Kiev this morning. What many had hoped (including me)...
Ryan Delany
Feb 24, 20225 min read
1,245 views
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Understanding the US Dollar Impact on the Coffee Market - Part 1
#Coffee is both a financial product and a global #commodity. It is cultivated, consumed, shipped and traded across almost every country...
Ryan Delany
Feb 18, 20227 min read
1,759 views
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OMG, Omicron! and the Effects on the Coffee Market
Today Fed Chairman Powell gave testimony before the US Senate where he cautioned on the economic impact of the #Omicron Variant on the US...
Ryan Delany
Nov 30, 20214 min read
411 views
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7 Data Points to Watch in Coffee
#Coffee is a rapidly changing market and while conviction is essential, we need to be prepared to change our view when the facts change....
Ryan Delany
Nov 11, 20213 min read
413 views
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What to Expect When Your Expecting (a Fed Press Release) *Coffee Market Edition*
In just a few short hours, the #FOMC (230pm EST) will be making a statement and the markets will be reacting. For people in the #coffee...
Ryan Delany
Sep 22, 20213 min read
185 views
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The Struggle for $2 Coffee, Comparison with 2014
4 days in a row now #CoffeeMarket has tried and failed to break the psychologically significant 200 level. Back in 2014 #coffeefutures...
Ryan Delany
Sep 2, 20213 min read
373 views
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The Pied Piper of Coffee
Back in October 2020, the Pied Piper of the Brazil drought led away all of the bearish Rats from the #CoffeeMarket, and now he has...
Ryan Delany
Jul 13, 20212 min read
186 views
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FOMC Might be Bullish Coffee
I read the Federal Reserve minutes so you don't have to! Steady as she goes from the #FederalReserve. This may disappoint #USD bulls who...
Ryan Delany
Jul 8, 20213 min read
70 views
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The Doomsday and Mini-Doomsday Inflation Scenarios
The #FederalReserve's #FOMC met this past week, and the results are relevant to us in the #coffeemarket, and indeed all of the...
Ryan Delany
Jun 20, 20213 min read
172 views
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The Truth about Inflation and Coffee
The #CPI numbers came out and they were high, even higher than expected. The numbers for May were an increase of 0.6% which was 50%...
Ryan Delany
Jun 10, 20212 min read
234 views
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Are Rate Hikes Coming? Does it Matter?
#Currencies and #FX are notoriously difficult to predict because they do not exist in a vacuum, one #currency affects all others. That...
Ryan Delany
Jun 1, 20212 min read
134 views
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#Inflation Trade Overdone?
Given the outsized influence of the #macro bullishness on the #coffeemarket, it is important to revisit this topic. What's concerning to...
Ryan Delany
May 24, 20211 min read
30 views
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Don't Fight the Fed
Well the Macro picture has once again raised its ugly head. #Federalreserve Vice Chair Clarida said the weak April payroll report shows...
Ryan Delany
May 18, 20211 min read
26 views
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