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How the Coffee Market Inversion can Break Itself
One of the most striking features of the #coffeemarket in recent times is the high inversion of calendar spreads instigated by the record...

Ryan Delany
Oct 11, 20225 min read


How the Brazilian Elections Affect the Coffee Market
The Brazilian presidential elections are happening and the question that arises for us is: how does this affect the #coffeemarket? In...

Igor Bragato
Oct 6, 20227 min read


Cert Stock Horror Show-Case Study of 1996
Halloween is coming this month, and in keeping with the spooky traditions of this month I want to share a number with all of my #coffee...

Ryan Delany
Oct 4, 20225 min read


Why Technical Analysis is Controversial (and How to Use it Properly)
Technical Analysis is one of those topics that divides a lot of people in the #trading community--some people love it, and some people...

Ryan Delany
Sep 30, 20228 min read


Brazilian Coffee Market Outlook - With Cocapec
On Sep 1st, 2022 we spoke with Adilson Machado, the manager of Cocapec, one Brazil’s premier Coffee Coops. Adilson himself is deeply...

Igor Bragato
Sep 21, 20223 min read


An Outlook of the Cerrado Coffee Crop in Brazil
On August 17th, we visited the city of Araguari, localized in the Cerrado Mineiro, one of Brazil’s main #coffee producing areas. Our...

Igor Bragato
Sep 1, 20226 min read


Coffee Rallies 27c in 3 days, Bubble or Boom?
Just a few weeks ago #coffee was below $20 and the downtrend from $250 had decimated many bulls. However, since that peak bearishness,...

Ryan Delany
Aug 25, 20222 min read


Invasion of the Certs
There are now an impressive 263k bags of #coffee pending grading in Antwerp, and this puts a different spin on the bullishness of the...

Ryan Delany
Aug 16, 20223 min read


What the Latest Inflation Number Means for Coffee (and all Commodity) Prices
The overall framework in commodities is that a weak USD rallies commodities and a strong US dollar devalues commodities. This is the...

Ryan Delany
Aug 11, 20223 min read


Lay of the Land
#Coffee has confounded both bulls and bears with a sideways movement after one of the most dramatic bull markets in a generation. Since...

Ryan Delany
Aug 9, 20226 min read


Spreadpocalypse Now
Recently a #coffee researcher friend of mine and I were discussing one of the key topics driving the #coffeemarket today: the disastrous...

Ryan Delany
Jul 7, 20228 min read


Brazilian Coffee Outlook with Heberson Sastre
On Jun 9th, 2022 we met with Heberson Sastre, the head of the Minasul trading desk and a coffee trader with almost 30 years of experience...

Ryan Delany
Jun 21, 20223 min read


Cert Stocks Below 1 Million, What Next?
One of the key components that I use, when trying to ascertain fair value of #coffeefutures is the #certifiedinventory, and the outlook...

Ryan Delany
Jun 17, 20225 min read


Coffee Value Score: An Objective Measure of Coffee Value
The flagship product of my reports is something that I call my “Coffee Valuation Score.” The purpose of this report is to provide a...

Ryan Delany
Jun 16, 20224 min read


Understanding Fundamentals – the 2nd Most Important Skill a Trader Needs
Understanding the #fundamentals, the environment of #coffee #supply and #demand is the second most important skill that a #coffeetrader...

Ryan Delany
Jun 8, 20225 min read


Top 10 Candlestick Patterns Every Trader Should Know
Candlesticks charts have become the gold standard across the trading world: from #coffeefutures to #bitcoin, these funky little charts...

Ryan Delany
May 31, 20227 min read


Changing Landscape in the Coffee Market
The #coffeemarket is in a very different dynamic than it was 3 months ago, and we are getting near to a new paradigm: the bear market. In...

Ryan Delany
May 25, 20228 min read


Lessons from a 2 Day Coffee Crop Tour in Brazil
With a country as large and as important in the coffee world as Brazil, it should go without saying that you cannot get an accurate...

Ryan Delany
May 17, 20226 min read


Understanding Physical Coffee Prices
It is a well-worn cliché to those of us in the #coffeeindustry to compare coffees to wines but it helps us convey to the lay-person the...

Ryan Delany
May 10, 20225 min read


The Frost Rally is Over—Whats Next?
#Coffee prices have crossed the 200 day SMA 4 out of the last 5 trading sessions, and last week marks the first time that this key...

Ryan Delany
May 3, 20226 min read
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