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How the Brazil Macro Should Affect the Coffee Market

Brazil is in an inflection point, as its Central Bank (BCB) is expected to reduce interest rates for the 1st time after 2 years of hikes, while a tax reform is close to being approved. This could mean a revaluation for the Brazilian Real which in turn could have a major impact on coffee. In our view, the long-term net effect of these changes leans bearish for the coffee market and would offset bullish impact from the USD.

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