Brazil Crop Risk Building from Dry Weather & High Temperatures
Brazil experienced a relatively early #coffee flowering this year, with some reports saying that up to 50% (50!?! Really? 🤨) of the crop...
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Igor Bragato
- Sep 1
- 5 min
Flowering Registered in Brazil’s Cerrado
On Aug 25th, we visited a few #coffee producing areas from the Cerrado (MG) region in Brazil and had the opportunity to witness a portion...
282 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
- Aug 15
- 4 min
El Niño Guide for the Coffee Market - Part 1
The period spanning 1997 to 1998 marked one of the most potent #ElNiño occurrences on record, exerting a substantial influence across the...
363 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
- Aug 10
- 5 min
Groking the Coffee Market
When I was a very green commodity analyst, my boss said something to me that I will never forget. I was being trained up on the job at...
357 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
- Jul 6
- 5 min
Origin Focus – Ethiopia – Part 2
Ethiopia holds a significant position as the third largest #Arabica #coffee producer, considerably impacting the physical pricing of dry...
349 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
- May 31
- 4 min
Coffee Destination Stocks Update: 5/31/2023
"When the best is gone, the best remains." With the gaping hole left by the discontinuation of the GCA stock report, the ECF stock report...
399 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
- May 18
- 9 min
How to Read our Free Technical Analysis Reports for Soft Commodities Markets
Intro As fundamental analysts, we believe prices are primarily driven by #supply and #demand. However, we also recognize the significant...
411 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
- Apr 25
- 8 min
What AI Will (and Will Not) Mean for Commodity Markets
Someone asked me about what #AI will mean in the #coffeemarket and I gave a bit of a flippant answer about how it wouldn't change much,...
480 views0 comments
Igor Bragato
- Apr 14
- 5 min
Brief Coffee Crop Tour in Cerrado & Alta Mogiana, Brazil
On Apr 5th to 6th, we did an informal 2-day trip in Cerrado (MG) and Alta Mogiana (SP), which is in the heart the main #coffee producing...
337 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
- Mar 28
- 7 min
State of the Coffee Market
Half-Pregnant We are in a particularly awkward moment in #coffee, and the stakes are high for the direction of price. Already faced by...
818 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
- Jan 10
- 5 min
Coffee Destination Stocks – A Guide
In #Coffee, and in many #commodities like it, stocks (inventory levels) drive price. This is particularly true in coffee because the...
799 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
- Dec 15, 2022
- 5 min
Calendar Spreads and their Insights into Commodities Trading
While Calendar Spreads may seem confusing at first, they are actually easy to understand, and more importantly, very useful for...
809 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
- Dec 8, 2022
- 5 min
Commodity Index Funds: Beyond the Rebalance
Every year around December, those of us in #coffee (and in the commodity industry in general) start talking about “the rebalance.” While...
490 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
- Nov 15, 2022
- 7 min
End of an Era: Coffee Market Back in Carry
The current Z/H #calendarspread has been inverted for an entire year (November 2021) and today, it touched a low of -2.6c and is...
919 views0 comments
Igor Bragato
- Nov 10, 2022
- 3 min
Hailstorm Smacks Brazil Coffee
A massive #hailstorm happened across the #Brazilian #coffee growing regions this Tuesday, and more is possible today. Many cities were...
1,042 views1 comment
Ryan Delany
- Nov 8, 2022
- 7 min
Coffee Supply and Demand Made Easy
Understanding the #SupplyandDemand (S&D) balance sheet is essential for any professional #trader, but can also be extremely daunting. ...
917 views0 comments
Igor Bragato
- Oct 27, 2022
- 4 min
Technicals Suggest Coffee Bull Market is Over
Despite low certified inventory levels and a persistent inversion, the #coffeemarket has maintained a bearish trend and now even broken...
533 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
- Oct 20, 2022
- 5 min
What the Heck is going on in Coffee?
Today #coffeefutures traded below 190c for the first time since July 2021. Despite #coffee prices hitting a high in the 260s back in Feb...
961 views0 comments
Igor Bragato
- Oct 18, 2022
- 5 min
Objective Coffee Weather Analysis on a Global Scale
Since #Coffee is an agricultural product, the weather is an essential component in the #coffeemarket. The fact that we must rely on...
282 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
- Oct 11, 2022
- 5 min
How the Coffee Market Inversion can Break Itself
One of the most striking features of the #coffeemarket in recent times is the high inversion of calendar spreads instigated by the record...
1,099 views0 comments
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