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Brazil Forecasts Show Abundant Rainfall Underway
The Brazil precipitation outlook has made a dramatic turn around over the last few days, transitioning from dry forecasts igniting fears...

Igor Bragato
Oct 9, 20244 min read
250 views
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El Niño Guide for the Coffee Market - Part 1
The period spanning 1997 to 1998 marked one of the most potent #ElNiño occurrences on record, exerting a substantial influence across the...

Ryan Delany
Aug 15, 20234 min read
475 views
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How to Read our Free Technical Analysis Reports for Soft Commodities Markets
Intro As fundamental analysts, we believe prices are primarily driven by #supply and #demand. However, we also recognize the significant...

Ryan Delany
May 18, 20239 min read
657 views
1 comment


The Impressive Rise of Robusta: S&D Considerations
#Robusta experienced a dramatic rally from 1750 in N up to nearly 2500 in April, a rally of 40%. #Arabica experienced a similar though...

Ryan Delany
May 2, 20236 min read
425 views
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Approaching 2 Key Technical Thresholds in the Coffee Market
The coffee market has experienced an impressive rally recently, with both #Arabica (+34c,+19.8%) and #Robusta (+$27, +1.2%) markets...

Ryan Delany
Apr 20, 20233 min read
608 views
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State of the Coffee Market
Half-Pregnant We are in a particularly awkward moment in #coffee, and the stakes are high for the direction of price. Already faced by...

Ryan Delany
Mar 28, 20237 min read
859 views
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Coffee Destination Stocks – A Guide
In #Coffee, and in many #commodities like it, stocks (inventory levels) drive price. This is particularly true in coffee because the...

Ryan Delany
Jan 10, 20235 min read
1,137 views
0 comments


Coffee Supply and Demand Made Easy
Understanding the #SupplyandDemand (S&D) balance sheet is essential for any professional #trader, but can also be extremely daunting. ...

Ryan Delany
Nov 8, 20227 min read
1,125 views
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Brazilian Coffee Market Outlook - With Cocapec
On Sep 1st, 2022 we spoke with Adilson Machado, the manager of Cocapec, one Brazil’s premier Coffee Coops. Adilson himself is deeply...

Igor Bragato
Sep 21, 20223 min read
361 views
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Changing Landscape in the Coffee Market
The #coffeemarket is in a very different dynamic than it was 3 months ago, and we are getting near to a new paradigm: the bear market. In...

Ryan Delany
May 25, 20228 min read
593 views
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Breaking the Robusta Inversion
#Tradehouses have shipped at least 18,000 MT of #Robusta from #Indonesia and #Vietnam to #Europe in the month of January and there are...

Ryan Delany
Feb 9, 20225 min read
813 views
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Coffee Calendar Spreads are On Fire
Yesterday, #Arabica #certifiedstocks dropped an impressive 70k and the #calendarspreads are going bananas. Calendar spreads in Arabica...

Ryan Delany
Feb 1, 20227 min read
1,299 views
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Real Deal on the Brazilian Real: How Brazilian Forex Influences the Coffee Market
Our first rule of our coffee trading rules is “Know Brazil, know the BRL”. #Brazil is the powerhouse of the #coffeemarket. Boasting the...

Ryan Delany
Jan 18, 20227 min read
973 views
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7 Data Points to Watch in Coffee
#Coffee is a rapidly changing market and while conviction is essential, we need to be prepared to change our view when the facts change....

Ryan Delany
Nov 11, 20213 min read
413 views
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The Bear Case for Coffee
The #Robusta spec position hit an all time high of 43% of OI and #Brazilian #farmers are reportedly holding back sales, referring to...

Ryan Delany
Nov 1, 20215 min read
549 views
0 comments


Robusta Inversion, Peak or Just Getting Started?
A few months back I wrote about the +22 inversion in #Robusta #coffeemarket and how that market gets "squeezed". Since then, the F/H...

Ryan Delany
Sep 15, 20214 min read
343 views
0 comments


Squeeze in Robusta Spills into Arabica
(Edit: An earlier version of this article erroneously quoted the MiFiD position limits rather than the ICE Eur Delivery Limits. This has...

Ryan Delany
Jul 9, 20214 min read
485 views
0 comments


Tis the Silly Season
We have now officially entered the #SillySeason as we prepare for potential #Frosts in #Brazil. According to my #Seasonality report, this...

Ryan Delany
Jun 21, 20211 min read
30 views
0 comments
2 Points on ECF Stock Rise
Given the #EuropeanCoffeeFederation (#ECF)'s recent issuance of the stock report, I wanted to review the numbers and see what we can...

Ryan Delany
Apr 25, 20212 min read
52 views
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