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Why Coffee Certs are Different Now, and NOT Bearish
One of the most important data points to follow in the #coffeemarket is the certified stocks. Every day, I send out my #Coffee...

Ryan Delany
Aug 19, 20213 min read


GCA Stocks Return to Seasonal Expectations, Confirms Deficit
Last month the #GCAstocks, shocked to the downside when they came in below expectations at 5.78 mm bags. This month, we have a...

Ryan Delany
Aug 16, 20213 min read


Brazil Coffee: A Little Dry, or Very Dry?
For the past several weeks and months we have been hearing about #drought and #dryness in Brazil (from our friends like analysts Judy...

Ryan Delany
Aug 12, 20213 min read


A Macro Boon for Coffee
Yesterday the #BrazilianCentral Bank announced a rate increase of 1% to combat the rising #inflation. This is the largest increase since...

Ryan Delany
Aug 5, 20215 min read


Volatility and Inversion in the Calendar Spreads
The #Arabica #coffeemarket was inverted by 5 bps in N22/U22 as of 7:18am. This is VERY unusual. I'm not trying to be alarmist here, I...

Ryan Delany
Jul 27, 20213 min read


GCA Stocks vs KC Stocks Which Determines Price?
We have a fundamental disconnect between #CertStocks which are approaching the 5 year highs and #GCAstocks which are flirting with their...

Ryan Delany
Jun 24, 20212 min read


*Is the Rally Here?*
Another big day in the #CoffeeMarkets this time spurred by two pieces of news: 1) Brazilian gov't is issuing water advisories in several...

Ryan Delany
May 28, 20213 min read


*The Commodities vs Coffee*
"When all you have is a hammer, all of your problems look like nails." As a "coffee guy" or "coffee gal", it can be very easy to get stuck in our worlds and lose sight of the big picture. For those of us who are immersed in #coffee market data and talk about the #coffeemarket on a daily basis, we tend to see everything in terms of coffee. When you publicly share a view of the #market, it is even more tempting to look at every day's price action as confirmation of our view.

Ryan Delany
May 11, 20212 min read
2 Points on ECF Stock Rise
Given the #EuropeanCoffeeFederation (#ECF)'s recent issuance of the stock report, I wanted to review the numbers and see what we can...

Ryan Delany
Apr 25, 20212 min read
What does Disaster look like for Coffee? 170c and beyond...
Those of us following the #coffeemarket, know that there was heat damage that caused flowers to abort from the #coffee trees in #Brazil,...

Ryan Delany
Apr 22, 20212 min read
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