Over the last month and a half #coffee has lost 50c or nearly 20% of its value from peak to trough after a historic #bullmarket that saw prices more than double from Jun 2020 to Feb 2022. The question that we are all asking ourselves now is this: is the rally over? To answer this question, I will outline the setup that got us to this point, examine the new factors that have changed the calculus and identify some key signals that will offer a clue as to where we are going. Su

One of the most useful #TechnicalAnalysis indicators for #commodities in general, and the #coffeemarket in particular, is the Relative Strength Index (RSI). In this article, we will discuss what this indicator is, how it is constructed, and how it is interpreted when reviewing the #market. If you are interested in learning more about technical analysis, this indicator (along with many others) are taught in detail as part Day 3 of the Coffee Trader's Course. Why should you ca

#tradingquotes are fun and sometimes offer good insight, but obviously we can't take them as gospel. That disclaimer out of the way, I think Sir John Templeton here as succinctly outlined the generally accepted #bullmarket cycle in terms of our collective emotions. One thing we can say for sure, is that the #coffeemarkets are not euphoric. Using the below outline I'd say that we are somewhere between "skepticism" and "optimism". Using hard numbers: #KC is up ~35% in 2 years,